Ben Guerdane 1-2 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.29/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.48
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
414 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Marsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-1 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
1-2
AWAY AS Marsa
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa nicked a narrow win over Ben Guerdane 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ben Guerdane at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 48% of the ball to AS Marsa's 52%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa?

Ben Guerdane 1-2 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 54%, draw 25%, AS Marsa 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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