Kalmar 3-2 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.53
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.53
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
12%
6.09
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.35
Value flag · 2/X at 14.35 — our 9% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.81
+26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Landskrona
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.09.2005 Kalmar Kalmar 2-2 HT 0-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ
16.06.2005 Landskrona Landskrona 1-1 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
18.09.2004 Landskrona Landskrona 0-2 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
3-2
AWAY Landskrona
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar squeezed past Landskrona 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalmar had 56% of the ball to Landskrona's 44%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kalmar and 1.00 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Landskrona?

Kalmar 3-2 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 46%, draw 28%, Landskrona 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5
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