Umea FC 0-1 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.21
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
10%
6.01
X/2
15%
5.35
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.52
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.09/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.87
-26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
09.11.2020 Umea FC Umea FC 1-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
16.06.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 3-1 HT 2-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
29.06.2006 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 1-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall edged past Umea FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had GIF Sundsvall as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Umea FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Umea FC and 1.33 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs GIF Sundsvall?

Umea FC 0-1 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIF Sundsvall win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 30%, draw 28%, GIF Sundsvall 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIF Sundsvall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIF Sundsvall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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