Gefle 1-1 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.96/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.07
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Assyriska
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
04.06.2021 Gefle Gefle 2-0 HT 2-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
10.03.2013 Gefle Gefle 5-1 HT 2-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇK
23.10.2005 Assyriska Assyriska 0-3 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
04.05.2005 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇK
01.05.2005 Gefle Gefle 1-0 HT 1-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-1
AWAY Assyriska
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and Assyriska couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gefle had 52% of the ball to Assyriska's 48%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gefle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gefle and 0.83 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Assyriska?

Gefle 1-1 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gefle 43%, draw 24%, Assyriska 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gefle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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