UMF Selfoss 0-2 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

UMF Selfoss
0-2 HT 0-1
Throttur Reykjavik
📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Selfoss v Throttur Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 54%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.38/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.72
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 4-3 HT 2-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
01.06.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-1 HT 2-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
29.07.2021 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
21.05.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
19.09.2015 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
13.07.2015 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik beat UMF Selfoss 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Throttur Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Throttur Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UMF Selfoss and 2.00 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik?

UMF Selfoss 0-2 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 27%, draw 28%, Throttur Reykjavik 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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