Njardvik 3-1 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Njardvik EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.78/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.02
-8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Njardvik
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-2 HT 0-0 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
31.05.2024 Njardvik Njardvik 5-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
10.02.2024 Njardvik Njardvik 1-5 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
25.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-3 HT 0-2 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
24.06.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 2-2 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Njardvik got the better of Thor Akureyri 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Njardvik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Njardvik had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Njardvik and 2.00 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri?

Njardvik 3-1 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Njardvik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Njardvik 43%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Njardvik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Njardvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
14 Jun 2025
17:00 UMF Selfoss vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →
17:00 Völsungur vs Keflavik Analysis →