Njardvik 1-5 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.17
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.31
No
51%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
72%
-23.2pp
51%
BTTS No
28%
+23.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Njardvik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 42%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Njardvik
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-3 HT 0-2 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
24.06.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 2-2 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri cruised past Njardvik 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Njardvik had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Njardvik and 1.00 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri?

Njardvik 1-5 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - League Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Njardvik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Njardvik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Njardvik 40%, draw 27%, Thor Akureyri 33%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Njardvik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Njardvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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