Fjölnir 3-0 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.68
Over 2.5
57%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.28
No
46%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
74%
-20.2pp
46%
BTTS No
26%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 46%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.00/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-39% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
2W-0D-3L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.09.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 1-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
30.06.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 3-1 HT 3-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
16.08.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
18.06.2009 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZK
07.07.2008 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-6 HT 0-4 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir cruised past HK Kopavogur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was HK Kopavogur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Fjölnir and 2.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs HK Kopavogur?

Fjölnir 3-0 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - League Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated an HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 32%, draw 26%, HK Kopavogur 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (HK Kopavogur), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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