Keflavik 2-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.29
No
44%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
37%
-10.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
73%
-17.0pp
44%
BTTS No
27%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 40%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+49% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Vestri
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.03.2022 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 0-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
20.02.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 5-0 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
25.09.2020 Vestri Vestri 1-3 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
26.07.2020 Keflavik Keflavik 4-1 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Vestri shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Keflavik and 0.75 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Vestri?

Keflavik 2-2 Vestri in the Iceland - League Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 46%, draw 28%, Vestri 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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