Palestino 2-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.43/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.40
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.7 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY La Serena
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2022 Palestino Palestino 5-0 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
14.05.2022 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.10.2021 Palestino Palestino 3-3 HT 2-2 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
20.07.2021 La Serena La Serena 4-3 HT 1-3 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
22.11.2020 Palestino Palestino 1-3 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
14.10.2020 La Serena La Serena 4-2 HT 2-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
2-1
AWAY La Serena
1.56 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palestino vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino squeezed past La Serena 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Palestino had 56% of the ball to La Serena's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.56 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Palestino and 2.33 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Palestino vs La Serena?

Palestino 2-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palestino 48%, draw 24%, La Serena 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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