U. Catolica 1-0 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.72/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.63
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.9 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Huachipato
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 U. Catolica 4-0 HT 2-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
30.03.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.11.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
11.05.2023 U. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
15.09.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
17.04.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
1-0
AWAY Huachipato
1.83 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
392 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Huachipato 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 60% of the ball to Huachipato's 40%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold U. Catolica's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for U. Catolica and 0.67 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Huachipato?

U. Catolica 1-0 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 52%, draw 25%, Huachipato 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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