San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.4pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +13%
1.28/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.43
+0% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Almagro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
08.02.2025 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
23.07.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
20.03.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
20.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
10.02.2020 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
25.10.2019 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Almagro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.17 for Almagro.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 42%, draw 36%, Almagro 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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