Sorrento 2-4 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.28/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.73
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bayswater City
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
10.06.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 5-2 HT 2-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
17.03.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
09.07.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 4-2 HT 2-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
16.04.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
04.09.2021 Bayswater City Bayswater City 0-4 HT 0-3 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City got the better of Sorrento 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayswater City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sorrento and 1.83 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Bayswater City?

Sorrento 2-4 Bayswater City in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 22%, draw 26%, Bayswater City 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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