Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.62
Over 2.5
28%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
58%
+14.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
42%
-14.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
0.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.84
-42% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Changwon City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.08.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
28.04.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City squeezed past Yeoju Sejong 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; Changwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 1.00 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City?

Yeoju Sejong 1-2 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 27%, draw 34%, Changwon City 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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