Yeoju Sejong 0-2 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Apr 2024

Yeoju Sejong
0-2 HT 0-2
Changwon City
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeoju Sejong v Changwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 43%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.02
-10% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City saw off Yeoju Sejong 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Changwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City?

Yeoju Sejong 0-2 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 33%, draw 31%, Changwon City 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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