Yangpyeong 2-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 61%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.24/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.77
+16% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +43%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 3-1 HT 1-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
21.05.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-3 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong edged past Hwaseong 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hwaseong at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yangpyeong and 3.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Hwaseong?

Yangpyeong 2-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 23%, draw 27%, Hwaseong 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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