Zakho 2-1 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zakho EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 15%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.02
+19% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zakho squeezed past Naft Al-Basra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zakho as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra?

Zakho 2-1 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zakho 58%, draw 24%, Naft Al-Basra 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zakho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zakho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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