Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +24%
0.42/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.60
-56% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
12.05.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
23.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
05.09.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.04.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar and Aktobe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.17 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 32%, draw 25%, Aktobe 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
14 Jun 2025
16:00 Zhetysu vs Kairat Analysis →
16:00 Atyrau vs Ulytau Analysis →
18:00 FK Turan vs Zhenys Analysis →