Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
0.94/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.89
-17% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
05.09.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.04.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
22.06.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
13.04.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe got the better of Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aktobe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe?

Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 37%, draw 25%, Aktobe 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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