FC Astana 1-1 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.56/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.12
+1% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaisar
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.08.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
30.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
23.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
19.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
17.10.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
18.05.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 2-5 HT 1-3 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana and Kaisar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for FC Astana and 0.83 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Kaisar?

FC Astana 1-1 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 45%, draw 27%, Kaisar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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