Yelimay Semey 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 19%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.50
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey squeezed past Shakhter Karagandy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 26%, Shakhter Karagandy 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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