Smiltene 5-0 Augsdaugava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.18/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.01
+27% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene swept aside Augsdaugava 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Smiltene as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Augsdaugava?

Smiltene 5-0 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Augsdaugava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 63%, draw 18%, Augsdaugava 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smiltene), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smiltene) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
14 Jun 2025
00:00 Rezekne / BJSS vs Riga Mariners Analysis →
17:00 Marupe vs Leevon / PPK Analysis →
18:00 Skanste vs Progress / AFA Olaine Analysis →