Skanste 2-3 Progress / AFA Olaine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.90/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/4.06
-16% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -47%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Progress / AFA Olaine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
20.07.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-2 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
05.08.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 HT 1-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
08.04.2023 Skanste Skanste 4-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Progress / AFA Olaine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine edged past Skanste 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Skanste carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Skanste had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Skanste and 1.00 for Progress / AFA Olaine.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Skanste 2-3 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Progress / AFA Olaine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Skanste 59%, draw 22%, Progress / AFA Olaine 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Skanste), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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