Progress / AFA Olaine 1-0 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
58%
Away Win
70%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 75%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.92/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.85
+95% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Skanste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
20.07.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-2 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
05.08.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-1 HT 1-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
08.04.2023 Skanste Skanste 4-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine nicked a narrow win over Skanste 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Skanste carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.67 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste?

Progress / AFA Olaine 1-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 19%, draw 23%, Skanste 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skanste) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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