Smiltene 0-3 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
69%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+7.6pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.6pp
69%
Away Win
84%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.63/3.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/0.44
-42% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +118%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Riga FC II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
20.07.2024 Riga FC II Riga FC II 5-1 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
22.10.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 0-7 HT 0-4 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
01.07.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 3-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II ran out comfortable winners over Smiltene 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Riga FC II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Smiltene and 5.00 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Riga FC II?

Smiltene 0-3 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 13%, draw 18%, Riga FC II 69%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✓ Over 2.5
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