02/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Marupe vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
29%
Draw
11%
53%
Away Win
81%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 85%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.27/0.51
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+36%
/
+75%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
8
205 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
474 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Marupe vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marupe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Super Nova
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
7.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Marupe vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova got the better of Marupe 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Super Nova?
Marupe 0-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Marupe 18%, draw 29%, Super Nova 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Super Nova)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
2 Nov 2024