Valmiera II 2-0 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.43
-44% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
20.07.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 3-2 HT 1-2 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
08.10.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 2-3 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
04.06.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 5-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera II got the better of JDFS Alberts 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was JDFS Alberts at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valmiera II and 3.67 for JDFS Alberts.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs JDFS Alberts?

Valmiera II 2-0 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 31%, draw 23%, JDFS Alberts 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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