JFK Ventspils 4-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.24/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-16% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.07.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 0-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils ran out comfortable winners over Leevon / PPK 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day JFK Ventspils made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK?

JFK Ventspils 4-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 36%, draw 23%, Leevon / PPK 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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