JDFS Alberts 3-2 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.23
Over 2.5
69%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+6.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
31%
Under 2.5
41%
-10.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
59%
+10.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/3.45
-54% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Valmiera II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.10.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 2-3 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
04.06.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 5-1 HT 2-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts nicked a narrow win over Valmiera II 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.50 for Valmiera II.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera II?

JDFS Alberts 3-2 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 60%, draw 17%, Valmiera II 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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