Riga FC II 5-1 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-14.9pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.4pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.44
+34% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
463 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 0-7 HT 0-4 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
01.07.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 3-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Riga FC II vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC II cruised past Smiltene 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC II as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga FC II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Riga FC II and 0.00 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Riga FC II vs Smiltene?

Riga FC II 5-1 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC II vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Riga FC II 67%, draw 18%, Smiltene 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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