Super Nova 7-0 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +75% / +75%
2.85/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+37% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Marupe 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Marupe?

Super Nova 7-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 48%, draw 29%, Marupe 24%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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