Zalgiris II 2-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
3.23/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.19
+76% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
05.06.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
25.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
16.05.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
2-1
AWAY FA Siauliai II
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II squeezed past FA Siauliai II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 54% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 46%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalgiris II and 1.25 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Zalgiris II 2-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 49%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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