Tauras Taurage 3-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tauras Taurage win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.25/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.48
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ekranas
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.08.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 7-1 HT 2-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
17.03.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-2 HT 1-2 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tauras Taurage
3-1
AWAY Ekranas
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage saw off Ekranas 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tauras Taurage had 61% of the ball to Ekranas's 39%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tauras Taurage had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Tauras Taurage and 1.50 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Ekranas?

Tauras Taurage 3-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 54%, draw 25%, Ekranas 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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