FC Astana 2-0 Irtysh Pavlodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 14 Jun 2026

FC Astana
2-0 HT 2-0
Irtysh Pavlodar
📅14/06/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

FC Astana vs Irtysh Pavlodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
15%
Away Win
15%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Astana v Irtysh Pavlodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.24/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.33
+20% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

FC Astana vs Irtysh Pavlodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
10.11.2019 FC Astana FC Astana 0-2 HT 0-1 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
26.09.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.05.2015 FC Astana FC Astana 2-2 HT 1-1 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
11.03.2015 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
22.06.2014 FC Astana FC Astana 5-3 HT 3-2 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
19.04.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 3-4 HT 3-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Irtysh Pavlodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana got the better of Irtysh Pavlodar 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Astana and 2.00 for Irtysh Pavlodar.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

FC Astana 2-0 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 64%, draw 21%, Irtysh Pavlodar 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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