Yelimay Semey 1-3 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +22%
1.38/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.61
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
28.09.2025 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.06.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
10.11.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 1-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
28.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent got the better of Yelimay Semey 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Ordabasy Shymkent made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Yelimay Semey and 1.25 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Yelimay Semey 1-3 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 28%, draw 33%, Ordabasy Shymkent 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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