Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.96
+34% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent squeezed past Yelimay Semey 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 42%, draw 27%, Yelimay Semey 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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