Kaisar 2-0 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 10 Nov 2024

Kaisar
2-0 HT 1-0
Tobol
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 59%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.71/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.89
-19% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.06.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
13.04.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
06.08.2023 Tobol Tobol 0-2 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
14.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.06.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-3 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
14.04.2021 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar got the better of Tobol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tobol at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kaisar and 1.33 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Tobol?

Kaisar 2-0 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 22%, draw 25%, Tobol 54%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tobol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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