Yelimay Semey 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒12:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.74
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey and Ordabasy Shymkent couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Yelimay Semey 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 28%, draw 34%, Ordabasy Shymkent 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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