Zhetysu 2-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 60%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.78/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.26
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
14.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
29.10.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 1-2 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.09.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
09.05.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-5 HT 1-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
27.06.2015 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu squeezed past Aktobe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zhetysu and 2.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

Zhetysu 2-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 23%, draw 32%, Aktobe 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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