Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.66/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.61
+22% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.11.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 1-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
28.04.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent and Yelimay Semey shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.00 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 42%, draw 29%, Yelimay Semey 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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