One Knoxville 3-1 New York Cosmos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Cosmos EU Bookmakers 20%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.86/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.5 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
3-1
AWAY New York Cosmos
2.65 xG 1.37
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
340 Passes 291
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs New York Cosmos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville beat New York Cosmos 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.65 to 1.37.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs New York Cosmos?

One Knoxville 3-1 New York Cosmos in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs New York Cosmos?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 63%, draw 19%, New York Cosmos 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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