Sarasota Paradise 2-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.24
-27% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.0 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarasota Paradise
2-0
AWAY Union Omaha
1.31 xG 0.96
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
264 Passes 403
22 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarasota Paradise beat Union Omaha 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.31 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?

Sarasota Paradise 2-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 27%, draw 26%, Union Omaha 47%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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