Charlotte Independence 4-3 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.54/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
+40% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.3 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Naples
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2026 Naples 1-5 HT 0-3 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
26.10.2025 Naples 2-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
13.09.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
4-3
AWAY Naples
2.67 xG 1.53
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
318 Passes 321
26 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Charlotte Independence vs Naples
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Charlotte Independence edged past Naples 4-3 in the USA - USL League 1 on 14 Jun 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.67 to 1.53.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naples lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Naples.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Naples?

Charlotte Independence 4-3 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 52%, draw 30%, Naples 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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