Naples vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naples v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
Naples vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Naples 1-5 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence swept aside Naples 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naples had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naples and 0.00 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of Naples vs Charlotte Independence?
Naples 1-5 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naples vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naples 29%, draw 23%, Charlotte Independence 49%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.