Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greenville Triumph v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
Greenville Triumph 1-0 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph nicked a narrow win over Forward Madison 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.32 to 0.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Forward Madison.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.17 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph 1-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 41%, draw 26%, Forward Madison 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.