Forward Madison 3-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Jul 2025

Forward Madison
3-1 HT 1-0
Greenville Triumph
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +13%
1.20/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.43
-28% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.7 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 3-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.03.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
30.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
02.07.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
16.04.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 4-1 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.09.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1

Forward Madison 3-1 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
3-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.49 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
406 Passes 236
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison got the better of Greenville Triumph 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Forward Madison found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forward Madison had 60% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.49 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forward Madison and 1.17 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Forward Madison 3-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 34%, draw 33%, Greenville Triumph 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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