Tormenta 1-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.11/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.22
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
13.9 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
2W-0D-4L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 3-0 HT 2-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
06.07.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 0-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
30.03.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
24.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
22.04.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
1-2
AWAY One Knoxville
1.00 xG 2.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
359 Passes 438
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Tormenta 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tormenta had 46% of the ball to One Knoxville's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.00 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tormenta and 1.33 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs One Knoxville?

Tormenta 1-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 35%, draw 21%, One Knoxville 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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