Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greenville Triumph v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
4-1
HT 2-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Greenville Triumph 3-0 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph swept aside Forward Madison 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Greenville Triumph had 37% of the ball to Forward Madison's 63%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.98 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.83 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph 3-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 47%, draw 26%, Forward Madison 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.