Naples 2-0 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Oct 2025

Naples
2-0 HT 0-0
Charlotte Independence
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Naples vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naples v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.70
+6% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.7 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Naples vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.04 xG 1.98
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
321 Passes 505
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
21 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Naples USL1

Naples 2-0 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-0
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.63 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
346 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naples vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples saw off Charlotte Independence 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 46% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 54%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.63 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Naples vs Charlotte Independence?

Naples 2-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naples 42%, draw 25%, Charlotte Independence 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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