Richmond Kickers 5-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
1.37/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.31
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.6 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
30.03.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
04.07.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
14.04.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
15.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.08.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
5-1
AWAY Forward Madison
2.96 xG 2.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
274 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers ran out comfortable winners over Forward Madison 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Forward Madison at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 45% of the ball to Forward Madison's 55%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.96 to 2.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.67 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Richmond Kickers 5-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 35%, draw 25%, Forward Madison 41%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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